The difference a vote can make

I was at the dog park this week speaking with a young 29 year old elector who told me he had absolutely no interest in voting. We chatted for a bit about the importance of getting out to vote but I couldn’t persuade him to participate because to him, one vote wouldn’t make a difference. It got me to thinking – how many local government elections are shaped by one vote – one elector?

I heard a story ages ago from the Mayor of the Northern Rockies Regional Municipality Mayor Gary Foster about his election to council in the 90s where he tied with the last place candidate. Both candidates went before a judge to make a determination and that judge drew names from a hat, and declared him the winner of the election. According to The Candidate’s Guide for Local Government Elections in BC, this is still a current practice and there are two ways to deal with a tie: drawing names from a hat, or doing a runoff ballot.

So going back to the question: does your vote really matter – can one vote really make a difference? I reviewed all the voting data from every local government election in 2018 and found some interesting examples that prove one vote really does make a difference.

Anmore, Burns Lake, Highlands, Keremeos, Lion’s Bay, Lytton, McBride, Midway, New Hazelton, North Saanich, Radium Hot Springs, Silverton, Telkwa, Trail, and Zeballos had councils where every candidate was acclaimed. One could argue that a single person putting forward their nominations papers could have produced an entirely different outcome in the election.

In Belcarra, the last place elected councillor won by just one vote, and in Armstrong, Cumberland, Gold River, Greenwood, Pouce Coupe, Powell River, Sparwood, and Squamish, the last place elected councillor won by just two votes. Those communities where the last place elected councillor won by less than 10 votes: Qualicum, Slocan, Hazelton, Merritt, Sicamous, Creston, Port Alice, Sayward, Logan Lake, Coquitlam, New Denver, and Barriere.

Here’s the full list ending with Nanaimo, which had the biggest spread between the last place elected councillor with a 2564 vote spread.

CommunityVote Difference
Anmore0
Burns Lake0
Highlands0
Keremeos0
Lion’s Bay0
Lytton0
McBride0
Midway0
New Hazelton0
North Saanich0
Radium Hot Springs0
Silverton0
Telkwa0
Trail0
Zeballos0
Belcarra1
Armstrong2
Cumberland2
Gold River2
Greenwood2
Pouce Coupe2
Powell River2
Sparwood2
Squamish2
Qualicum3
Slocan3
Hazelton4
Merritt4
Sicamous4
Creston5
Port Alice6
Sayward7
Logan Lake8
Coquitlam9
New Denver9
Barriere10
Fort St James12
Kent12
Stewart12
Wells14
Queen Charlotte15
Sooke16
Montrose18
Port Edward18
Port McNeill19
Salmo19
Clearwater20
Masset20
West Vancouver20
 100 Mile House21
Metchosin22
Sun Peaks22
Peachland23
West Kelowna23
Alert Bay25
Hudson’s Hope25
Cache Creek26
Duncan26
Fraser Lake26
Fruitvale26
Port Hardy27
Gansle29
Canal Flats32
Vanderhoof33
Grand Forks34
Dawson Creek35
Lantzville35
Ashcroft36
North Cowichan36
Fort St John37
Fernie38
Smithers38
Tahsis39
Clinton44
Princeton45
Oliver47
Mission49
Tofino51
Pemberton53
Tumbler Ridge53
Mackenzie55
Port Alberni57
Whistler59
Houston61
Lillooet61
Port Clements65
Valemount68
Coldstream69
Hope69
Terrace72
Gibsons77
Kitimat82
Campbell River84
Castlegar84
Rossland85
Courtnay89
Harrison Hot Springs90
Kaslo92
Maple Ridge92
Richmond97
Williams Lake97
Sechelt98
Ucluelet98
Enderby99
White Rock99
Lumby101
District North Vancouver101
Salmon Arm101
Langley103
Golden104
Revelstoke111
Warfield115
Invermere118
Chase120
Elkford125
Nakusp126
Ladysmith127
Colwood129
Chetwynd134
Kimberley135
Taylor136
City of North Vancouver137
Lake Cowichan151
Penticton151
Osoyoos163
Northern Rockies165
Prince Rupert165
Port Moody171
Quesnel176
View Royal187
Burnaby215
Langford236
Summerland259
Surrey261
Bowen Island286
Cranbrook292
Parksville311
Spallumcheen323
Nelson331
Comox365
Pitt Meadows374
Oak Bay398
Vernon407
Saanich424
Central Saanich432
Abbotsford482
Port Coquitlam565
Esquimalt571
Delta601
Prince George692
Kamloops732
Sidney763
Chilliwack814
Victoria1147
New Westminster1298
Kelowna1602
Vancouver1692
Nanaimo2564
Full dataset can be viewed here.

It might not seem like your vote makes a difference but it can and it does. So, this election, we have two more days of advanced voting opportunities and general voting day for you to get out and cast your vote. It very well could be the difference between your candidate getting elected or not.